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Supercomputer predicts Man City title chances and Manchester United finish – Manchester Evening News

Manchester City are set for an almighty scrap if they are to defend the Premier League title this season.

Having reigned supreme for the third time in four years, key figures responsible for transfers at the Etihad Stadium got down to business during the summer window.

Indeed, even though they missed out on England captain Harry Kane – who was priced out of a move from current club Tottenham – they were able to splash out on £100million man Jack Grealish from Aston Villa.

Over at Old Trafford, meanwhile, Manchester United issued a triple statement of intent.

Jadon Sancho, Raphael Varane and five-time Ballon d’Or winner Cristiano Ronaldo were signed – while Chelsea also paid £97.5million to Serie A giants Inter Milan for Romelu Lukaku.

Despite those other high-profile deals, though, City remain the team to beat this campaign.

Either side of a Champions League reverse to star-studded PSG, the champions issued a genuine statement when beating the Blues on their own Stamford Bridge patch and drawing 1-1 with Liverpool at Anfield.

But how have those results – and signings – impacted City’s hopes of claiming the big one?

According to the FiveThirtyEight supercomputer, Pep Guardiola and his squad are favourites to win the trophy.

Indeed, they are currently viewed as a 50 per cent shot to finish top of the class, while Liverpool (26 per cent) and Chelsea (18 per cent) follow way behind. United boast a 5 per cent chance of winning a first Premier League crown since 2013 – according to that same data.

Those predictions are replicated when assessing top-four credentials, too.

City hold a 95 per cent likelihood in that regard, while Liverpool (87 per cent) and Chelsea (81 per cent) are backed to follow them into the main competition – and United (48 per cent) should hold off challenges from Everton (13 per cent), Tottenham (14 per cent) and Arsenal (12 per cent).

Who will win the Premier League title this season? Have your say in the comments section below.

The supercomputer predicts that 84 points will be enough for City to reign supreme, once again.

FiveThirtyEight uses SPI ratings, which have an attacking and defensive component, to determine which team is going to win a specific game. This is then all built up to see how many points each side will accumulate for when the season ends.

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